Friday 29 March 2019

Lottario Trial - Week 10

A disappointing week yielded 15 hits and three bonus numbers. That produced one lonely Free Play. The good news for players was that the $440,000 Jackpot was unclaimed. This weeks jackpot is estimated to be $730,000. As a result, I am going to extend my trial by one more week or until the Grand Prize is won.

Total cash prizes won last week totalled $623,500. Further, an additional $190,000 was added to the jackpot and some $185,000 went into the coffers of the OLG. The carry over is worth a stab so I will stick around for another week.

Instant Games

Recommended games are: $2 Burger Bucks #2062, $3 Lights Camera #2088, $3 Lucky 8's #2115, $4 Cash For Life #1174, $5 Bingo Doubler #2094, $5 Cross Tripler #2092, $5 Mission Money #2067, $5 Power 5's #2085, and $5 Big Spin #2109.

Games to avoid are: $3 Scrabble #2079, and $10 Cross Deluxe #2065.

OLG Modernization

There were lots of stories this week that featured local mayors slobbering over the OLG and the cheques they received for hosting slots in their community.

Two Points: the local community is contractually obligated to hold a press conference each time it receives a cheque. They then proceed to tell us that their community would not have an arena or a park if it were not for the slots in their town. Whooey to that, I say. The second point is that the community receives approximately a nickel rebate for every dollar that is consumed by the slots.

Imagine if I gave you a dollar. In exchange I give you a nickel and you have to throw a shindig to thank me for the nickel. That's the sham that we are following. Attention local media: either ask some tough questions at these lame events or decide to cover something more meaningful.


Pretty nice outside. Will we be blessed by winter once more? I say yes.


Doug







Saturday 23 March 2019

Lottario Trial - Week 9

This week produced 18 hits which is two more that expected. On the downside, I only had the Bonus number once. Fortunately, the sole bonus landed on a line with none producing a Free Play.

The 18 correct numbers produced seven lines with one correct, four lines with two correct, and one line with 3 correct - worth $4. My total return was $5 heading into the last week of the trial. At this point I am still a few numbers below expected so I'm thinking that I'm due another good week.


Scratch Ticket Update

These are pretty good days on the scratch ticket front. The recommended games are: $2 Burger Bucks #2062, $3 Lights Camera #2088, $4 Cash For Life #1174, $5 Bingo Doubler #2094, $5 Cross Tripler #2092, $5 Mission Money #2087, $5 Power 5's #2085, $5 Big Spin #2109.

Games to avoid: $3 Scrabble #2079, #10 Bigger Spin #2124, #10 Cross Deluxe #2065. A warning to players: the largest prize left to claim in Cross Deluxe is $10,000! They're selling fools gold when it comes to this game

OLG Modernization

Here is an interesting story: http://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/a-retired-couple-explain-exactly-how-they-used-math-skills-and-a-lottery-loophole-to-win-dollar26-million-in-9-years/ar-BBV413u?li=AAggFp5&ocid=UE01DHP .

Granted, this story is from the USA and not Canada but it gives you the indication that circumstances can creep up that are a benefit to players. I'll be switching to a new trial foe next week. Think I'll check to see if the OLG offers any similar games.

I was also entertaining this week when the Ontario Government announced new funding of $10 million to the thoroughbred breeding group. This same group is currently suing the Government over the distribution of slots money. I wonder if there is any connection.

People are going crazy in social media claiming that the Government cares more about race horses than it does about autistic children or class size. I'm weak on the details but will do some research and report on it next week.

Happy springtime.

Doug





Friday 15 March 2019

Lottario Trial - Week 7&8

The last two weeks have been a tale of taking different routes to the same destination. In Week 7 I hit 21 times with three bonus numbers. That is five hits over the expected number of 16. Unfortunately, the best I could muster was 2 correct on any line which I managed to do 6 times! The only good news was that my three bonus numbers landed on 2 of the 5 lines for which I had none correct. Final result - 2 Free Plays.

In Week 8 famine struck when I only hit 10 times which matches the low for the trial. The best result was 2 correct on each of two lines. The good news is that I hit the Bonus number 7 times which yielded 3 Free Plays.

The Jackpot was hit in each week which means that it again is estimated to be $250,000 for this week. I need a little bit of luck to improve my overall results with two weeks left in the experiment.

Scratch Ticket Update

Recommended Games: $3 Lights Cameras #2088, $4 Cash For Life #1174, $5 Mission Money #2087, $5 Power 5's #2085, $5 Big Spin Win #2109.

Games to Avoid: $3 Scrabble #2079, $5 King #2084, $10 Bigger Spin #2124.


OLG News

Thanks to AJ for a couple of interesting comments left on the Lottario Week 5 Trail blog entry. Some first hand knowledge of what is going on in Wasaga Beach.

I was particularly irked this week when the OLG issued a Press Release praising itself for having been awarded the World Lottery Association's prize for the Best Overall Responsible Gaming Program. First of all, there is a word in the English language for self-congratulations and it is not complimentary. Secondly, the WLA is nothing but an association of Casino companies. It's like RJ McDonalds being awarded a prize for the best cigarette company looking into the causes of lung cancer by the association of cigarette companies!

The OLG is not alone in this type of chicanery. Casinos all across the USA and Canada spend lots of effort trying to earn social capital from operating what is a vice. I don't have a problem with casinos existing but let's be honest. Be who you are and quit trying to convince me that there is something noble in what you do.

The Medical Officer of Health for Toronto issued a report in November of 2012 that included recommendations as to what any approved casino in the GTA should include IF it truly cared about responsible gaming. Here are the recommendations:

  1. Limiting hours. Close the casino 6 hours per day. 
  2. Slow down machine speed. 
  3. Eliminate casino loyalty programs. 
  4. No ATMs on the floor. 
  5. No credit or holding accounts. 
  6. Reduce maximum bet size. 
  7. Mandating a daily loss maximum. 
  8. Implement a strong self-exclusion program. 
  9. Issue monthly patron statements showing losses and details of playing history. 
  10. No alcohol on the casino floor. 
Now, how many of these ideas (each of which would be effective) has the OLG and its gang of casino operators put in place? Correct! And yet they are judged to be the best in class? To quote a famous Twitter contributor, "SAD!"



Spring is coming folks.


Doug





Saturday 2 March 2019

Lottario Trial - Week 6

My bad Week 5 was followed up with a lucky Week 6. For only the second time in six weeks, I achieved the expected result of 16 numbers. The running total now is 13, 20, 13, 15, 10, 16. I had the all-important Bonus number 3 times.

With that I managed to have one line with 3 correct and a second with 3 correct plus the bonus. My total cash was $9. Yes readers, I am aware that that is still a $1 loss. Still, if I can churn at a rate of only $1 per week while trying to hit a jackpot, I can last a long time.

Also on the good news front, the Jackpot was not won again. The OLG is estimating a jackpot this week of $600,000. The OLG does a poor job of estimating the jackpot. Last week their estimate was $350,000 and it turned out to be $407,000. Working backwards, that indicates total ticket sales of 880,000. They should be able to come closer that $50,000 on that volume. Maybe they just want to be certain to never over estimate the jackpot. I can see why that might be the case.

We are now getting to a good point to play. With a chance to win of one in 4 million per line, every $1 has a one in two million chance to win. Because I buy $10 worth of tickets my chances are a robust one in 200,000. I won't be holding my breath yet but another couple of weeks of jackpot roll-over and I may have to expand my level of play.


Instant Games

A new game called Power 5's #2085 has hit the shelves. No Grand Prizes have yet to be claimed and sales are brisk. Other recommended games are: Cash For Life #1174, 5 Bingo Doubler #2094, Cross Tripler #2092, and Mission Money #208. Sadly, no $3 games are recommended at this time.

Games to avoid are: Scrabble #2079, Big Spin #2104, and Bigger Spin #2124.


OLG News

Long time contributor, Lloyd, dropped me a line saying that the construction site in Pickering looks to be a little behind schedule. When completed it will include a casino, a hotel, and restaurants.

This is the casino that the Great Canadian Gaming Company agreed to operate alongside the Slots at Ajax Downs. They are less than ten minutes from each other. Ontario's Environment Minister, Rod Phillips, former CEO at the OLG, wrote the rules stating that only one casino could operate in the area but when a frakas erupted that put the Liberals in a tough spot the same Mr Phillips rode in on his white horse to save the day. No doubt there was a financial settlement agreed to. I would love to know what it was. I'd submit a Freedom of Information request but the answer would be that the Great Canadian Gaming Company is a private corporation and outside the rules of FOI. Still, it may be worth a shot.

Best

Doug