Thursday 31 January 2013

Turbo Cash #1713 Is The Best Play

Sales of Turbo Cash slipped this week to 2% of its float. No Top Prize was won and it remains our top play.  
Your chances of winning the $250,000 Top Prize stand at 160,000:1 - no other game is better.

TURBO CASH

Best Top Prize Games
$1 - $2 Games - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 Games - CFL Blowout #1160
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Best $100 or More Games
$1 - $2 Games - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 Games - Money Mult #1692
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Best Overall Plays
1. Turbo Cash #1713
2. Money Mult #1692
3. Merry Money #1723

Note: Fast 100 #1688 remains the best pure value play to win $100 at odds of 740:1 on a $1 ticket.

Comings and Goings


The $100k Per Year for Life game was retired this past week. This had been a game for sale across the country. Fourteen percent of the tickets and one Top Prize remained to be claimed when it was canceled.

Two new games were introduced this week: Bonus Keno#1413 and Bejeweled #1692. I am going to take a very close look at Bejeweled as it rates very highly on my rating system right from the start and this should not be the case. It is a $10 Game. Here is how it compares to Turbo Cash, the recommended game for play:

Game                                            Turbo Cash            Bejeweled
Float Size                                       1,428,000             1, 528,000
Chance to Cash                                 1:3.13                   1:3.18

% Cashes for $10                                 20%                     18%
% Cashes >$10 <=$100                      55%                     51%
% Cashes >$100 <= $1000                 16%                     11%
% Cashes >$1000                                  9%                     20%

The current evaluation system looks at the amount of Top Prize winnings available to be won as a percentage of the tickets left to be sold and the raw number of $100 or more prizes left to be sold as a percentage of total tickets left to be sold. The way Bejeweled is structured rates it high on both scales as it has 6 Top Prizes versus 3 for Turbo Cash and many more $100 prizes than Turbo Cash. On the other hand, Turbo Cash returns 75% of all of its prizes to people winning $100 or less whereas Bejeweled only returns 69% by this metric. In short, Turbo Cash is more egalitarian than its sister game. Your chances to win a $250,000 Top Prize is 1:250,000 for Bejeweled and is currently 1:160,000 for Turbo Cash. I will be looking at this in more depth during the coming week.

Personal Play

A crazy week of play saw the purchase of Turbo Cash, Money Multiplier, Merry Money, and Snow Globe tickets. The cardinal sin of re-investing winnings was made. I apologize for that lack of discipline. In total, $68 of tickets returned $54.

Winners of $50,000 or more this week came from: North York, London, Chelmsford, North Gower, Ingersoll, and Toronto. Faith should be restored in players from Toronto. It is possible to win!


Good Luck
Doug









Wednesday 23 January 2013

Turbo Cash #1713 Remains the King

Turbo Cash sold another 4% of its ticket float last week without surrendering a Top Prize. Your chances are presently 180,000:1 to win $250,000 with your $10 investment.

TURBO CASH

Best Top Prize Games:
$1 - $2 - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 - Cash For Life Blowout #1160
$10 - $20 - Extravaganza #1709

Best $100 or better Games:
$1 - $2 - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 - Money Mult #1692
$10 - $20 - Turbo Cash #1713

Best Overall Games:
1. Turbo Cash #1713
2. Money Mult #1692
3. Merry Money #1723

Games to Avoid:
Golden Goose #1700
More Lucky #1712
Wonderful Life #1714

This week's analysis includes more information for Extravaganza and $100k For Life. You can find the outstanding prize information here: http://www.olg.ca/lotteries/games/viewInstantTicketInfo.do . The outstanding prizes for these two games is reported on a national basis. For prizes of less than $1000, one has to call the OLG Call Centre. The OLG does not know exactly how many winners were sent to Ontario. I have made the assumption that the number of winners is in proportion to the number of tickets that were made available. This assumption becomes more valid the larger the number. Ontario receives about one third of all the tickets. The number of Top Prize winners could easily be more or less than one third. However, the number of $100 winners is almost certainly close to one third given the large number of winners.

Comings and Goings


Two new games were introduced this week: Quest for Gold Crossword #3201 and Instant Bingo #3008.
Each game has a good number of winning tickets that pay more than the cost of the ticket (16.5% for Bingo and 17.8% for QFG Crossword). Each game has a large ticket float. QFG Crossoword has a float of more than 25 million tickets! This game will be in play for many months.

Winners and Losers

Five Turbo Cash tickets produced one $50 winner. It was the last ticket scratched and I was pretty bummed out by that point. Forty-one percent of my 17 tickets this year have been winners. My total return on investment is 85%.

Winners of $100,000 or more this week hailed from: Innisfil, Burlington, Lakefield, and Cambridge.


Good Luck
Doug



Wednesday 16 January 2013

Turbo Cash #1713 loses a Top Prize - Still the Choice

A lucky player in Sault Ste Marie (OLG Headquarters) has won one of the three Turbo Cash Top Prizes of $250,000. However, the game was such a strong play that it remains the top choice even with the loss of the Top Prize. Twenty-Nine percent of the float remains to be sold and two of the three Top Prizes remain. The game is rated 4th in terms of Top Prize play and tops the list for $100 (or more) prizes play.

TURBO CASH


Best Top Prize Games:
$1 - $2 Games - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 Games - Instant Millions #1683
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Best $100 Prize or Greater Games:
$1 - $2 Games - Bingo Express #1707
$3 - $5 Games - Money Mult #1692
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Top Three Overall Games based upon the combination of the two evaluation methods.
1. Turbo Cash #1713
2. Money Mult #1692
3. Instant GP #1919

Players should note that Fast 100 #1688 is by far the best $100 or more game but $100 is also its Top Prize. If that's what you're looking for, play that game. You have one chance in 740 to win $100.

My evaluation of Extravaganza and $100K For Life may be off as I await OLG's response to my request to indicate prizes claimed down to the $100. Extravaganza is a national game with a portion of its tickets allocated to the Ontario market. That may prove to be a complication. OLG has acknowledged my request and I hope to receive a reply this week.

Games to avoid are Golden Goose #1700 and Wonderful Life #1714. Each game is devoid of Top Prizes.


Comings and Goings

Crossword #1298 was retired this week. The ticket float was almost exhausted with less than 5% of its tickets left to be sold of its original float of over 20 million tickets! One Top Prize remained to be claimed at the time of its retirement.

A new $2 game, Silver Gold, was added this past week. The prize distribution is typical for $2 games. This one has slightly more winning tickets but most of the difference is winning tickets for the $2 cost of the ticket.

Winners and Losers

My expanded play this past week produced two winners from five Turbo Cash tickets. Total return was $30. I have a 50% win rate and a 79% return on investment. Both numbers are above expected results. Still, I need one decent winner before my inevitable losing streak kicks in.

Winners of $10,000 or more this past week hailed from: Cambride, Jang Dae Doig, Carlton Place, Port Elgin, Burlington, Arnprior, Cornwall, Mississauga, Brampton, Meaford, Sioux Lookout, Sudbury, Little Britain, Oakville, Peterborough, and SS Marie.

So if I am guessing correctly, a visitor from Korea buys a Scratch and Win and hits for $100k! Where's the justice in that? I spent a summer in Sioux Lookout as a Junior Forest Ranger. Loved the experience but I'm a little surprised that they had a winner last week and the city of Toronto did not.

Good Luck
Doug




Tuesday 8 January 2013

Turbo Cash #1713 Continues Its Run On Top

Turbo Cash sold another 3% of its float this past week without surrendering a Grand Prize. Your chances of winning a Grand Prize of $250,000 now stand at 155,000:1, down from 170,000:1 a week ago. Your chances of winning at least $100 are a sparkling 333:1. The game is a prime play.

Best Grand Prize Play
$1 - $2 Games - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 Games - Instant Millions #1683
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Best $100 or more Prize Play
$1 - $2 Games - Golden Goose #1700
$3 - $5 Games - Money Mult #1692
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Top Three Recommended Games
1. Turbo Cash - #1713
2. Money Mult - #1693
3. Instant GP - #1919

Games to avoid are Golden Goose #1700 and More Lucky #1712. All of the Grand Prizes have been claimed for both games.

Comings and Goings

OLG is cleaning house for the new year. Two games were retired this past week (Cash Lines, Bingo) and three new games were introduced (Mahjong, CFL Blowout, Cash In). Each of the retired games had over 20% of their floats remaining to be sold. Cash Lines had 1 Grand Prize left to be claimed and Bingo had 2. It's hard to explain why these games were retired whilst games without Grand Prizes and the same number of tickets left to be sold continue to be sold.
Of the new games, Mahjong looks interesting with 28.2% of all tickets being winners and 14.9% of tickets being worth more than the cost of the ticket. Cash For Life games are always popular. This one, CFL Blowout, is a top loaded game with 7 grand prizes available from the 7 million ticket float. The game is poor from the $100 or more perspective.

Winners and Losers

Four Turbo Cash tickets contained two winners worth $35 this week. YTD results are a 58% cash rate and a 93% Return on Investment. I fear a return towards the norm but Turbo Cash is such a good play that I will be pounding away at it this week.

Anna in Etobicoke reports a $30 winner with her sole Turbo Cash ticket. She slipped it into her own Christmas Stocking. Sweet!

$50,000 or more winners during the past week hailed from Bowmanville, Lakefield, Oakville, Mississauga, Oshawa, Marsville and Windsor.


Good Luck
Doug




Wednesday 2 January 2013

Turbo Cash #1713 Starts 2013 on Top

There are many ways to evaluate Scratch and Win games. Almost any concept, once accompanied with an evaluation methodology, can produce differing recommendations.

This Blog will evaluate the best Grand Prize games and the best $100 or more win games. The recommended game is the one that best combines the two methods.

Turbo Cash #1713 continues to be the top choice. Only 36% of the ticket float remains to be sold and all the Grand Prizes remain to be claimed. Your chance to win one is now only 170,000:1 for your $10 investment. By comparison, the game with the best pure odds to win a jackpot is Instant GP #1919 at 150,000:1. The down side to this game is that the Grand Prize is only $50,000 for your $10 ticket.


Best Grand Prize Game:
$1 - $2 Games - Snow Globe #1727
$3 - $5 Games - Instant Millions #1683
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

Best $100 or more Game:
$1 - $2 Games - Bingo Express #1707
$3 - $5 Games - Money Multiplier #1692
$10 - $20 Games - Turbo Cash #1713

At present, I do not have information on Extravaganza and $100k For Life to the $100 prize level. As such, those two games may be getting short shrift in the analysis. I have asked OLG to add that information to their web page. Patience will be required as the request winds its way to the appropriate individual.

The Fast $100 game is also an outlier game. It rates "off the chart" in my evaluation system but the grand Prize for the game is only $100. It is a good game at $1 if your objective is to win $100. Your chances to do so are presently 800:1.

Comings and Goings


OLG has done some seasonal cleaning by retiring Blazing Sevens #1696, Scrabble #1702, and Cross Tripler #1703. All three of the games were getting low on ticket availability and each one had at least one grand prize left to claim. Mysteriously, OLG continue to flout Golden Goose #1700 with no Grand Prizes left and Crossword #1298 with only 5% of its ticket float remaining. The retired games had between 8% and 15% of their tickets left to be sold.

Personal Play


I started the year off well with 3 Turbo Cash tickets. Two were winners returning $30. That puts me even for the year after one week. This is likely to be my high water mark for the year.

Two reports from Toronto to end 2012 were as bad as bad can be. Frank in Scarborough is on an 0 for 9 Turbo Cash streak and Norm from Mississauga is at 0 for 4. Lets hope that the New Year brings them luck.

Happy New Year to all.

Doug