Tuesday, 19 December 2023

Top of the season to any folks who remain subscribed to this blog. It's been some time since I have posted. There are some games that are imminently playable, at this time, based upon my evaluation method. Whether you play those games or any others, my strongest advice is to avoid the games that are rated as being poor. It makes no sense to knowingly handicap your chances of winning in a game that is stacked against you under the best of circumstances. 

 $2 Games 

 These games are true stocking stuffers. There are presently three such games. Of the three, I recommend Money Multiplier (#2396). The other two games (Peppermint and Wild Aces) only have one grand prize each left to be claimed. I'm not crazy about games in that situation as if someone was to win the final grand prize tomorrow, you'd find yourself playing a game whose largest remaining prize is $1000 rather than the $35,000 Grand Prize. 

 $3 Games 

 These are the bread and butter games for the OLG. The Bingo and Crossword variations are very popular with the public. As a result, the OLG often runs two games of the same variety simultaneously. You need to be careful about which game you play. 

 A prime example are the current Bingo games. Game #3037 has no Grand Prizes remaining and 85% of its ticket float sold but version #3038 has sold 18% of its tickets and all the Grand Prizes, Second Prizes and Third Prizes are presently unclaimed. If you are buying this game, check the Game #. 

Crossword game #3237 is brand new and is just a slightly better version than the old version #3236. Either version is a reasonable choice. Avoid Lucky 7 #3236 as all of its Grand Prizes and Second Place prizes have already been claimed. Silver Bells #2399 is also a poor choice. 

Slingo #2374 is a good choice and Winter Tripler #2401 is an excellent choice. In fact, it is the best choice currently for sale with all of it's Grand Prizes remaining and one of its two second prizes still outstanding and 54% of its tickets sold. 

 Cash Lines #2376 is one of the flat games where the $3 investment has a Grand Prize of $100 but there are 22110 of them to be won. 

 $4 Cash For Life #1180 Cash For Life is another one of people's favourite games to play. The OLG sells these tickets en masse but it is a vertical game. The number of secondary prizes is very low. You either get a free ticket or the Grand Prize, as there is very little in between. If you like vertical games like this one, I recommend buying LottoMax or 649. 

 $5 Games 

 The best current game at this price range is 10X Wild #2386. Only 35% of the tickets are left to be sold which means that they are about to become harder to find. Stick with it - it's worth it. Bingo Doubler #2336 is not a bad choice and the rest of the games (Arctic Blast #2400, Bingo Double #2365, Cross Tripler #3302, Festive 5X #2402, Ht Slt Multi #2382, Moo La La #2388, Plinko #2280, The Big Spin #3109) are all neutral in their profile. 

 $10 Games 

 The best choice in this area is Bingo Multiplier #3081 with 4 of its 5 Grand Prizes left to be claimed and 42% of its float left to be sold. $500,000 Fortune is also a good choice with 44% of its float sold and 4 of its 6 Grand Prizes left to be claimed. 

 Stay away from The Bigger Spin #3152 as only 1 of its 5 Grand Prizes remains and 56% of its tickets remain to be sold. Red Hot 10X #2378 is also a poor choice. All the other games are reasonable choices with the slightest of edges awarded to Hit It Big #2387 and Holiday Rich #2390. 

 $20 Games 

 Now we're beginning to get into the pricey area. 20X Supreme #2204 and Instant Gift Pack #1930 are less than ideal while 20x Supreme is in a slightly positive position. It's the best of the three. 

 It surprises me that Christmas Games are sold, scratched, and claimed all before Christmas. I would have thought that almost all of those tickets were opened on Christmas morning. 

 $30 - $100 Games 

 The best game in this area is $50K #2385. This is an interesting game as the top prize is $50k and the ticket costs $50. The offset is that there are 40 Grand Prizes available and 40 $1000 second prizes. At present, 28 of the 40 Grand Prizes are left to be claimed and 47% of the float is left. We shall see how folks respond to this game. One would think that there is a price point where players will show resistance to the price of a scratch ticket. 

 Another good game here is Ultimate #2397. This game boasts the best chance to win $1m and sales are scheduled to end in early January. With only 14% of the float sold to date, it will be interesting to see how many of these tickets are ultimately sold. 

 Prestige #2201 and Platinum #2206 are neutral games and Mega is negative with 3 of 7 Grand Prizes left and 70% of the float left to be sold. 

 Summary 

 The best games currently for sale are $3 Winter Tripler, $10 Bingo Multiplier and $5 10X Wild. 

 I wish you all the best of luck. My goal for 2024 is to publish one blog entry per month. I also intend to run a Lottario trial that I will report upon as well. 

 Doug

6 comments:

  1. Glad to see you back! All the best for 2024!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Happy your back, even if semi-permanent. I'll be curious on your Lottario trial as I have long been a fan. Anytime its over a million bucks its your best odds to win a million in the province. I made some attempts about 7 or 8 years ago on Lottario to run a predictive analysis. My goal was not necessarily to predict all the winning numbers but rather to predict enough and with a higher probability to break even no a ticket. Anything beyond was bonus. I found mixed results and moved on at the time with the intention to circle back but never did.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hope you’re okay, was looking forward to checking this blog every month. I’m going to try and teach myself to calculate the scratch odds - just not 100% sure how to do that correctly yet!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Curious, how are you able to calculate tickets sold from amount made? I asked the OLG via their chat, and they said they don't release nor track the amount of tickets in circulation.

    ReplyDelete
  5. The numbers I use are estimates. I take the total number of top prizes that the OLG publishes and compare that number to the total number of top prizes left unclaimed. The result is more accurate the greater the number of published prizes for the particular game. If you work out the projected accuracy for the sample (total prizes outstanding versus total prizes) you will find that the margin is quite low.

    ReplyDelete